Key Insights and Recommendations

The following page outlines key insights and recommendations derived from the Tracker of Climate Strategies for Transport. These insights result from the assessment of the second generation of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and Long-term Low Greenhouse Gas Emission Development Strategies (LTS). These findings are supported by good practices, which are highlighted in the green boxes. At the end of the document you can find information about the GIZ and SLOCAT Partnership campaigns to enhance transport ambition in NDCs. 

For information on the background of the Tracker of Climate Strategies for Transport, please refer to this page. We encourage you to use the database for your own work and research. Find relevant instructions in this how-to use guide. The summary analysis of the second generation NDCs can be retrieved here

Lesson #1: Low-income countries need more support in the development and implementation of NDCs. 

Only 9% of second generation NDCs have been submitted by low-income countries. While nearly all low-income countries in Asia have submitted a new NDC, just three low-income countries in Africa (of 27 in total) have submitted a new NDC by May 2021. 

Transport Actions in Rwanda’s Updated NDC 
Rwanda’s updated NDC includes a comprehensive set of transport measures on public transport infrastructure (including bus rapid transit systems), walking and cycling infrastructure, electric vehicles, and vehicle emission standards. The activities are linked to the Sustainable Development Goals. The focus is on mitigation measures; however, the document does include references to adaptation benefits. Access Rwanda’s Updated NDC here. 

Lesson #2: Overall adaptation content in NDCs has increased, but generally does not cover transport adaptation and infrastructure resilience. 

In the first generation of NDCs, the topic of adaptation was often overlooked. The new generation of NDCs shows that countries have more knowledge and tools available to consider adaptation to climate change. However, the adaptation of transport infrastructure is not being reflected to the same extent as transport mitigation (230 mitigation measures vs. 65 adaptation measures).  

Adaptation in Moldova’s Updated NDC 
Moldova’s updated NDC puts a strong focus on adaptation. Over a dozen transport-related adaptation measures have been identified in the assessment. These activities cover resilient urban infrastructure, capacity building, funding schemes, resilience codes and standards, and more. View all measures in detail in Moldova’s Updated NDC here. 

Lesson #3: The new NDCs feature twice as many references to mitigation as the first generation of NDCs. 

They are only outpaced by the very lengthy and detailed LTS. These include a very rich diversity of transport measures which in some cases (e.g. Austria’s LTS) are structured according to the Avoid-Shift-Improve framework. Portugal has developed narratives on decarbonisation including a narrative on transport decarbonisation up to 2050 in its LTS (see the graph). 

Portugal: Narrative of carbon neutrality of the transport sector up to 2050 (RNC2050: 39)

Lesson #4: Not enough attention is being put on aviation and shipping in NDCs and LTS. 

These two sectors can be strengthened by: 

  • Integrating AvoidShift and Improve measures to address maritime and aviation emissions into NDCs and LTS; and  
  • Ensuring coherence between national climate policy objectives and country’s positions in the international discussions of the International Civil Aviation Organization and International Maritime Organization.  
Fiji’s NDC includes the target to reduce domestic maritime emission 40% compared to BAU levels by 2030. Cabo Verde’s updated NDC, the Updated NDC by the US and Singapore’s LTS highlight the need to work closely with the International Maritime Organization and International Civil Aviation Organization in order to address international transport emissions. 

The broader global development community is also taking a closer look at new NDCs and LTS. Besides our transport-focused assessment of climate plans, there are numerous ongoing analyses on various aspects of NDCs, including  

  • Climate Watch, which is gathering multiple datasets to let users analyse and compare NDCs, access historical emissions data, and use models to map new pathways to a lower carbon future.  
  • UN-Habitat analyses the interconnection between NDCs and buildings.  
  • The adaptation community is currently updating its Tool for Assessing Adaptation in the NDCs (TAAN).  
  • The NDC Partnership, an organisation dedicated to leveraging resources and expertise in support of NDC implementation has a Knowledge Portal which features guidance documents, tools and a collection of good practices. We strongly recommend you take a look at the good practices for transport included in their portal. 
  • The Nature-based Solutions Platform by the University of Oxford provides the an overview of the Global NDC status
  • The German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE) developed the NDC Explorer that presents information on NDCs in 60 subcategories related to mitigation, adaptation, finance and support, planning and process, as well as broader debates like SDGs and fossil fuel subsidy reform. 

Recommendations to enhance transport in NDCs 

Six Action Recommendations for Policymakers to Align Transport with the Paris Agreement and the Sustainable Development Agenda 

Building on existing transport-related roadmaps, calls for action, discussion papers and research findings, GIZ devised six essential recommendations for policymakers and other officials dealing with climate action and ambition in the transport sector. As policymakers draft their NDC revisions and updates, they can heed these recommendations, which have been broadly formulated to allow adaptation to divergent national contexts. 

In addition to enabling emission reductions, the recommendations address various sustainable development challenges in the transport sector. Beyond fighting climate change, taking action in all six areas will help to reduce air pollution, noise and congestion, while also enhancing access to transport, road safety and the efficiency of the freight sector, contributing to six of the seventeen SDGs. 

For an overview of the findings of the Six Action Recommendations please see the graphic illustrations in English, French and Spanish as well as postcards. Read more about GIZ’s Action Recommendations here

Ten Recommendations to Raise Ambition for Transport in NDCs 

The level of ambition for sustainable, low carbon transport must be drastically increased in NDCs. That is why the SLOCAT Partnership, in collaboration with GIZ (German Development Agency), the World Resources Institute (WRI), and the Institute for Transportation and Development Policy (ITDP), with contributions from: Alstom, the Climate Group, the Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI), the International Association of Public Transport (UITP), the International Union of Railways (UIC), and Walk 21, have developed ten key recommendations for raising transport ambition in countries’ Nationally Determined Contributions. 

The transport sector’s global emissions are heading in the wrong direction, accounting for the fastest-growing source of emissions around the world. We must change this trend now. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change underlines that a pathway for transport which contributes to maintaining global temperature rise below 1.5ºC is possible. However, the transformation of our mobility and transport systems for an equitable 1.5ºC Planet must be prioritised in policy, regulatory and fiscal frameworks. 

The aim of these practical NDCs recommendations is to inspire and support policymakers at all levels of government and other key stakeholders as they update and raise climate ambition in NDCs and LTS. The recommendations provide actionable and concise pathways to reduce the growing negative environmental, social, and economic impacts of transport business as usual. Each recommendation is supported by case studies and resources. 

Find more details about the recommendations here in English and Spanish as well as a summary poster and case studies.